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Second League · Bulgaria
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Etar Veliko Tarnovo host Fratria in the Second League (Bulgaria) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2–0 Fratria.
Going into the match, Etar Veliko Tarnovo had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 20. Fratria had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Etar Veliko Tarnovo's last 10 and 5 of Fratria's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Etar Veliko Tarnovo averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Fratria averaged 1.67 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Etar Veliko Tarnovo and 1.60 from Fratria. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 34%, against 29%, 27% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Etar Veliko Tarnovo (green) and Fratria (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | WLLWL | 1.50 | 2.00 | 80% | 70% |
| Fratria | WWWDD | 1.90 | 0.70 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.71 |
| Fratria Win | 44% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.