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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M. prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Estudiantes L.P. host Gimnasia M. in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 5 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Estudiantes L.P. 3–0 Gimnasia M..
Going into the match, Estudiantes L.P. had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Gimnasia M. had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Estudiantes L.P.'s last 10 and 3 of Gimnasia M.'s last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Estudiantes L.P. averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.81 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Gimnasia M. averaged 1.14 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Estudiantes L.P. and 0.84 from Gimnasia M.. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 21%, against 55%, 28% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Estudiantes L.P. (green) and Gimnasia M. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes L.P. | LLLWW | 0.90 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
| Gimnasia M. | DLDWW | 1.40 | 0.90 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Estudiantes L.P. Win | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.