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CONMEBOL Libertadores · International
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Estudiantes L.P. host Flamengo in the CONMEBOL Libertadores (International) on 16 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Flamengo to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Flamengo.
Going into the match, Estudiantes L.P. had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Flamengo had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Estudiantes L.P.'s last 10 and 5 of Flamengo's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Estudiantes L.P. averaged 1.59 goals scored and 0.76 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Flamengo averaged 1.88 scored and 0.81 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.73 goals from Estudiantes L.P. and 1.27 from Flamengo. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 48%, against 25%, 31% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Estudiantes L.P. (green) and Flamengo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes L.P. | DWLLL | 1.10 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Flamengo | WDWDW | 1.70 | 0.70 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 May 2026 · Flamengo 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.
- 30 Apr 2026 · Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Flamengo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Flamengo Win | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.