Estradense vs Boiro prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Estradense host Boiro in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Estradense 3–2 Boiro.

Going into the match, Estradense had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Boiro had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 9, with 21 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Estradense's last 10 and 4 of Boiro's last 9; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Estradense averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Boiro averaged 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Estradense and 1.84 from Boiro. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 55%, against 39%, 29% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Estradense (green) and Boiro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

• Estradense form and statistics
• Boiro form and statistics
• Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 statistics