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Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal

Estoril U23 vs Sporting CP U23 prediction and preview

9 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.50Market probability 61%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Estoril U23 host Sporting CP U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 (Portugal) on 9 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Estoril U23 1–0 Sporting CP U23.

Going into the match, Estoril U23 had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Sporting CP U23 had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 9 of Estoril U23's last 10 and 9 of Sporting CP U23's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Estoril U23 averaged 2.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Sporting CP U23 averaged 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Estoril U23 and 1.65 from Sporting CP U23. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 35%, against 39%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Estoril U23 (green) and Sporting CP U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack48% – 52%
Defence50% – 50%
Head-to-head15% – 85%
Goals27% – 73%
Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Estoril U23WDWDW2.001.5090%60%
Sporting CP U23DDWWW1.901.5090%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No75%1.22
Double Chance 1274%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals73%1.25
BTTS Yes61%1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals60%1.51
Over 2.5 Goals57%1.70
Under 9.5 Corners56%1.67
Under 2.5 Goals43%2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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