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Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy
Este vs Caldiero Terme prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Este host Caldiero Terme in the Coppa Italia Serie D (Italy) on 7 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Caldiero Terme to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Este 0–2 Caldiero Terme.
Going into the match, Este had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Caldiero Terme had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Este's last 10 and 7 of Caldiero Terme's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Este averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Caldiero Terme averaged 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Este and 1.55 from Caldiero Terme. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 46%, against 39%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Este (green) and Caldiero Terme (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Este | WDLLL | 0.90 | 0.90 | 30% | 30% |
| Caldiero Terme | WDWDD | 1.90 | 1.20 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Caldiero Terme Win | 33% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.