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Primera División Femenina · Spain
Espanyol W vs Deportivo Alavés W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Espanyol W host Deportivo Alavés W in the Primera División Femenina (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Espanyol W to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.37, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Espanyol W 1–0 Deportivo Alavés W.
Going into the match, Espanyol W had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Deportivo Alavés W had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5, with 3 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Espanyol W's last 10 and 0 of Deportivo Alavés W's last 5; 5 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Espanyol W averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Deportivo Alavés W averaged 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Espanyol W and 0.67 from Deportivo Alavés W. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 17%, against 36%, 30% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Espanyol W (green) and Deportivo Alavés W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol W | DWDLL | 1.30 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
| Deportivo Alavés W | LLWLW | 0.60 | 1.60 | 0% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.69 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.11 |
| Espanyol W Win | 36% | 2.57 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.