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Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Espanyol II vs Náxara prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Espanyol II host Náxara in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Espanyol II Win — Espanyol II to win. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Espanyol II had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 5. Náxara had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 9, with 11 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Espanyol II's last 10 and 4 of Náxara's last 9; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Espanyol II averaged 2.67 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Náxara averaged 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Espanyol II and 0.58 from Náxara. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 9%, against 75%, 17% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Espanyol II (green) and Náxara (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol II | WLWWW | 2.20 | 0.50 | 30% | 50% |
| Náxara | DLLLW | 1.22 | 1.56 | 44% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Espanyol II Win | 75% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.49 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Espanyol II 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Espanyol II HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.