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1. Division · Denmark
Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Esbjerg host FC Fredericia in the 1. Division (Denmark) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Esbjerg had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 18. FC Fredericia had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Esbjerg's last 10 and 4 of FC Fredericia's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Esbjerg averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home FC Fredericia averaged 1.92 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Esbjerg and 1.75 from FC Fredericia. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 54%, against 20%, 21% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Esbjerg (green) and FC Fredericia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esbjerg | DDLWD | 1.80 | 1.80 | 50% | 70% |
| FC Fredericia | WWDDW | 1.40 | 0.70 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Sep 2026 · FC Fredericia 1–0 Esbjerg
- 18 Jul 2026 · Esbjerg 0–1 FC Fredericia
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 80% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| FC Fredericia Win | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 48% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Division matches that day
- Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - AB Copenhagen vs Kolding IF · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Hillerød vs Aalborg · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44