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1. Division · Denmark
Esbjerg vs Aalborg prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Esbjerg host Aalborg in the 1. Division (Denmark) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Esbjerg 3–3 Aalborg.
Going into the match, Esbjerg had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 17. Aalborg had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Esbjerg's last 10 and 7 of Aalborg's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Esbjerg averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Aalborg averaged 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Esbjerg and 1.26 from Aalborg. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 26%, against 31%, 27% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Esbjerg (green) and Aalborg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.