Home › League stats › Ligue 1 › ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
ES Zarzis host ES Hammam-Sousse in the Ligue 1 (Tunisia) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: ES Zarzis 2–0 ES Hammam-Sousse.
Going into the match, ES Zarzis had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. ES Hammam-Sousse had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of ES Zarzis's last 10 and 5 of ES Hammam-Sousse's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ES Zarzis averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home ES Hammam-Sousse averaged 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from ES Zarzis and 0.56 from ES Hammam-Sousse. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 10%, against 52%, 30% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between ES Zarzis (green) and ES Hammam-Sousse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Zarzis | LLLWL | 1.10 | 0.80 | 30% | 30% |
| ES Hammam-Sousse | LLLDL | 1.00 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.64 |
| ES Zarzis Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| ES Zarzis HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.00 |
| 1-0 | 19% | 4.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.