Home › League stats › Ligue 1 › ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
ES Tunis host Olympique Béja in the Ligue 1 (Tunisia) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: ES Tunis 3–1 Olympique Béja.
Going into the match, ES Tunis had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 8. Olympique Béja had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of ES Tunis's last 10 and 6 of Olympique Béja's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ES Tunis averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Olympique Béja averaged 0.50 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from ES Tunis and 0.67 from Olympique Béja. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 10%, against 77%, 16% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between ES Tunis (green) and Olympique Béja (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Tunis | WWLWW | 1.60 | 0.80 | 40% | 50% |
| Olympique Béja | DDLLD | 0.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| BTTS No | 69% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.46 |
| ES Tunis 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 1.95 |
| Draw HT / ES Tunis FT | 27% | 3.48 |
| 2-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.