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Ligue 1 · Algeria
ES Setif vs JS Kabylie prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
ES Setif host JS Kabylie in the Ligue 1 (Algeria) on 14 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: ES Setif 1–1 JS Kabylie.
Going into the match, ES Setif had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10. JS Kabylie had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of ES Setif's last 10 and 6 of JS Kabylie's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ES Setif averaged 2.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home JS Kabylie averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from ES Setif and 0.94 from JS Kabylie. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 26%, against 43%, 31% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between ES Setif (green) and JS Kabylie (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Setif | DWLLW | 1.50 | 1.00 | 30% | 40% |
| JS Kabylie | WLWDW | 1.40 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 May 2026 · JS Kabylie 5–1 ES Setif
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.57 |
| ES Setif Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.