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Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
ES Sahel host CS Hammam-Lif in the Ligue 1 (Tunisia) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is ES Sahel Win — ES Sahel to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: ES Sahel 0–1 CS Hammam-Lif.
Going into the match, ES Sahel had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 18. CS Hammam-Lif had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of ES Sahel's last 10 and 2 of CS Hammam-Lif's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ES Sahel averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home CS Hammam-Lif averaged 0.50 scored and 0.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from ES Sahel and 0.86 from CS Hammam-Lif. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 31%, against 61%, 26% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 33%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between ES Sahel (green) and CS Hammam-Lif (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Sahel | LDWLL | 1.20 | 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
| CS Hammam-Lif | LLLLW | 0.80 | 0.60 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.31 |
| ES Sahel Win | 64% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.50 |
| ES Sahel HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.