ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Ben Guerdane prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

ES Hammam-Sousse host US Ben Guerdane in the Ligue 1 (Tunisia) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: ES Hammam-Sousse 0–2 US Ben Guerdane.

Going into the match, ES Hammam-Sousse had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. US Ben Guerdane had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of ES Hammam-Sousse's last 10 and 4 of US Ben Guerdane's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ES Hammam-Sousse averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home US Ben Guerdane averaged 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.76 goals from ES Hammam-Sousse and 1.65 from US Ben Guerdane. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 58%, against 34%, 33% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

• ES Hammam-Sousse form and statistics
• US Ben Guerdane form and statistics
• Ligue 1 statistics