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Süper Lig · Turkey
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Erzurumspor FK host Çorum FK in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 31 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Erzurumspor FK had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Çorum FK had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Erzurumspor FK's last 10 and 5 of Çorum FK's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Erzurumspor FK averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Çorum FK averaged 2.25 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Erzurumspor FK and 1.25 from Çorum FK. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 37%, against 37%, 28% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Erzurumspor FK (green) and Çorum FK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK | WWDWL | 1.10 | 1.30 | 30% | 50% |
| Çorum FK | LWWLW | 2.00 | 1.50 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Çorum FK 1–1 Erzurumspor FK
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Süper Lig matches that day
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe · 31 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Süper Lig
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Kocaelispor vs Rizespor · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Süper Lig
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73