Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 69%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Erzgebirge Aue host FC Carl Zeiss Jena in the Regionalliga - Nordost (Germany) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Erzgebirge Aue had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. FC Carl Zeiss Jena had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Erzgebirge Aue's last 10 and 6 of FC Carl Zeiss Jena's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Erzgebirge Aue averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 14 matches; away from home FC Carl Zeiss Jena averaged 1.56 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Erzgebirge Aue and 1.28 from FC Carl Zeiss Jena. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 40%, against 36%, 25% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Erzgebirge Aue (green) and FC Carl Zeiss Jena (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form29% – 71%

Attack38% – 63%

Defence45% – 55%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals40% – 60%

Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Erzgebirge Aue	WLLLD	1.20	1.30	50%	70%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena	DWWWL	1.60	1.00	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	74%	1.24
Under 3.5 Goals	69%	1.33
Double Chance X2	64%	1.38
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	58%	1.57
BTTS Yes	57%	1.59
Over 2.5 Goals	54%	1.71
Under 2.5 Goals	46%	1.97
FC Carl Zeiss Jena Win	39%	2.29

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.