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Oberliga - Bayern Süd · Germany
Erlbach vs TuS Geretsried prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Erlbach host TuS Geretsried in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd (Germany) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Erlbach 3–1 TuS Geretsried.
Going into the match, Erlbach had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. TuS Geretsried had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Erlbach's last 10 and 4 of TuS Geretsried's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Erlbach averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home TuS Geretsried averaged 1.56 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.85 goals from Erlbach and 0.45 from TuS Geretsried. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 7%. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Erlbach (green) and TuS Geretsried (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erlbach | DDWWL | 1.10 | 0.50 | 30% | 20% |
| TuS Geretsried | LDLLL | 1.00 | 1.60 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Apr 2026 · Erlbach 1–2 TuS Geretsried