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NB III - Southwest · Hungary

Érdi VSE vs Kaposvar prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsNo priceFinal score 3–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Érdi VSE host Kaposvar in the NB III - Southwest (Hungary) on 3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Érdi VSE 3–1 Kaposvar.

Going into the match, Érdi VSE had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 24. Kaposvar had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 9 of Érdi VSE's last 10 and 6 of Kaposvar's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Érdi VSE averaged 2.33 goals scored and 2.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Kaposvar averaged 2.57 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.92 goals from Érdi VSE and 1.90 from Kaposvar. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 38%. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Érdi VSE (green) and Kaposvar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form36% – 64%
Attack52% – 48%
Defence40% – 60%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals48% – 52%
Overall strength43% – 56%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Érdi VSELWDLL2.102.4090%90%
KaposvarDLWLW2.701.2060%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

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