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Premier League · Mongolia
Erchim vs Ulaanbaatar prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Erchim host Ulaanbaatar in the Premier League (Mongolia) on 11 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Erchim 1–3 Ulaanbaatar.
Going into the match, Erchim had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Ulaanbaatar had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 37 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Erchim's last 5 and 5 of Ulaanbaatar's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Erchim averaged 1.33 goals scored and 4.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Ulaanbaatar averaged 3.25 scored and 0.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.60 goals from Erchim and 4.84 from Ulaanbaatar. From that it rates a home win at 1%, a draw at 3% and an away win at 96%. For the published pick itself the model gives 91%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Erchim (green) and Ulaanbaatar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erchim | LLWLW | 1.60 | 3.20 | 80% | 80% |
| Ulaanbaatar | WWWWD | 3.70 | 1.40 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.