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Iraqi League · Iraq
Erbil vs Mosul prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Erbil host Mosul in the Iraqi League (Iraq) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Erbil to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Erbil 0–1 Mosul.
Going into the match, Erbil had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Mosul had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Erbil's last 10 and 5 of Mosul's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Erbil averaged 1.64 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Mosul averaged 1.10 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Erbil and 0.96 from Mosul. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 16%. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Erbil (green) and Mosul (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Apr 2026 · Erbil 2–2 Mosul
Other Iraqi League matches that day
- Al Shorta vs Al Karkh · 18 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Iraqi League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Iraqi League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–0