Erbaaspor vs Aliağa FAŞ prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Erbaaspor host Aliağa FAŞ in the 2. Lig (Turkey) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 3.5 Goals — more than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Erbaaspor 2–4 Aliağa FAŞ.

Going into the match, Erbaaspor had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 8 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Aliağa FAŞ had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 9, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Erbaaspor's last 8 and 4 of Aliağa FAŞ's last 9; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Erbaaspor averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Aliağa FAŞ averaged 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Erbaaspor and 2.14 from Aliağa FAŞ. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 49%. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Erbaaspor (green) and Aliağa FAŞ (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

• Erbaaspor form and statistics
• Aliağa FAŞ form and statistics
• 2. Lig statistics