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Primera B · Colombia
Envigado vs Orsomarso prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Envigado host Orsomarso in the Primera B (Colombia) on 1 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Envigado 0–0 Orsomarso.
Going into the match, Envigado had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Orsomarso had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Envigado's last 10 and 3 of Orsomarso's last 10; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Envigado averaged 1.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Orsomarso averaged 0.71 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.01 goals from Envigado and 0.61 from Orsomarso. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 21%, against 56%, 27% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Envigado (green) and Orsomarso (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Envigado Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Envigado HT & FT | 36% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| 1-0 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.