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Primera B · Colombia
Envigado vs Internacional Palmira prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Envigado host Internacional Palmira in the Primera B (Colombia) on 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Envigado to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Envigado 1–1 Internacional Palmira.
Going into the match, Envigado had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Internacional Palmira had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Envigado's last 10 and 3 of Internacional Palmira's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Envigado averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Internacional Palmira averaged 0.70 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.01 goals from Envigado and 0.64 from Internacional Palmira. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 21%, against 43%, 30% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Envigado (green) and Internacional Palmira (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Envigado | DDWDD | 1.10 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
| Internacional Palmira | LWWWL | 0.70 | 0.90 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 May 2026 · Internacional Palmira 0–0 Envigado
- 4 May 2026 · Envigado 0–0 Internacional Palmira
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Envigado Win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Envigado HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
| 1-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.