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Cup · Russia
Enisey vs Kaluga prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Enisey host Kaluga in the Cup (Russia) on 14 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Enisey 2–0 Kaluga.
Going into the match, Enisey had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 19. Kaluga had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Enisey's last 10 and 5 of Kaluga's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Enisey averaged 1.82 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Kaluga averaged 0.73 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Enisey and 0.99 from Kaluga. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 29%, against 45%, 32% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Enisey (green) and Kaluga (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.50 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 60% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Enisey Win | 45% | 2.16 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.