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England vs Czechia prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
England host Czechia in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: England 3–0 Czechia.
Going into the match, England had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 13. Czechia had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 8, with 9 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of England's last 10 and 6 of Czechia's last 8; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home England averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Czechia averaged 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.82 goals from England and 0.78 from Czechia. From that it rates a home win at 79%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 7%, against 84%, 11% and 4% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between England (green) and Czechia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Sep 2026 · Czechia 0–2 England
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| England HT & FT | 67% | 1.44 |
| England 1st Half Win | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 3-0 | 15% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.