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Division Intermedia · Paraguay
Encarnación vs Resistencia prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Encarnación host Resistencia in the Division Intermedia (Paraguay) on 2 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Encarnación to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Encarnación 0–3 Resistencia.
Going into the match, Encarnación had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Resistencia had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Encarnación's last 10 and 6 of Resistencia's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Encarnación averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Resistencia averaged 0.69 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Encarnación and 1.29 from Resistencia. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 44%, against 41%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Encarnación (green) and Resistencia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Encarnación | LWLDW | 1.00 | 1.30 | 40% | 30% |
| Resistencia | LLLLW | 0.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Jun 2026 · Resistencia 1–0 Encarnación
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Encarnación Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.