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Serie B · Italy
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Empoli host Vicenza Virtus in the Serie B (Italy) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Empoli had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Vicenza Virtus had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Empoli's last 10 and 8 of Vicenza Virtus's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Empoli averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Vicenza Virtus averaged 2.38 scored and 2.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.70 goals from Empoli and 1.09 from Vicenza Virtus. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 23%, against 40%, 30% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Empoli (green) and Vicenza Virtus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | DLLLW | 1.00 | 1.40 | 70% | 30% |
| Vicenza Virtus | DLLLD | 1.30 | 2.00 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 1X | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.