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Serie B · Italy
Empoli vs Palermo prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Empoli host Palermo in the Serie B (Italy) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Empoli 2–4 Palermo.
Going into the match, Empoli had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Palermo had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Empoli's last 10 and 6 of Palermo's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Empoli averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Palermo averaged 0.89 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Empoli and 1.59 from Palermo. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 51%, against 26%, 26% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Empoli (green) and Palermo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.