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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen vs Almere City FC prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Emmen host Almere City FC in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Emmen 2–1 Almere City FC.
Going into the match, Emmen had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 18. Almere City FC had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Emmen's last 10 and 4 of Almere City FC's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Emmen averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Almere City FC averaged 1.77 scored and 1.85 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Emmen and 1.69 from Almere City FC. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 36%, against 44%, 24% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Emmen (green) and Almere City FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen | WDWLL | 2.20 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
| Almere City FC | WWLWW | 2.20 | 0.70 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Emmen 4–0 Almere City FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.