Home › League stats › Segunda División › Eldense vs Oviedo
Segunda División · Spain
Eldense vs Oviedo prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Eldense host Oviedo in the Segunda División (Spain) on 2 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Eldense 4–1 Oviedo.
Going into the match, Eldense had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 15. Oviedo had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Eldense's last 10 and 3 of Oviedo's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Eldense averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Oviedo averaged 1.13 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Eldense and 1.31 from Oviedo. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 40%, against 34%, 31% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Eldense (green) and Oviedo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 68% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.