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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Elche II vs Valencia II prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Elche II host Valencia II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Elche II 4–1 Valencia II.
Going into the match, Elche II had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 17. Valencia II had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Elche II's last 10 and 4 of Valencia II's last 9; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Elche II averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Valencia II averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Elche II and 1.17 from Valencia II. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 26%, against 30%, 26% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche II | LLWLD | 0.90 | 1.70 | 40% | 40% |
| Valencia II | WLLLD | 1.67 | 1.11 | 44% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 2.00 |
| Valencia II Win | 41% | 2.05 |
| Valencia II HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.