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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Elana Toruń vs Luzino prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Elana Toruń host Luzino in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Elana Toruń 3–1 Luzino.
Going into the match, Elana Toruń had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 21. Luzino had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Elana Toruń's last 10 and 8 of Luzino's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Elana Toruń averaged 0.91 goals scored and 2.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Luzino averaged 2.38 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Elana Toruń and 2.69 from Luzino. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 67%, against 22%, 22% and 55% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Elana Toruń (green) and Luzino (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elana Toruń | DDLLL | 1.30 | 2.10 | 90% | 80% |
| Luzino | WWWWL | 2.60 | 1.10 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · Luzino 2–1 Elana Toruń
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Luzino Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| Luzino HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 1-2 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.