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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Elana Toruń vs Flota Świnoujście prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Elana Toruń host Flota Świnoujście in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Elana Toruń 1–0 Flota Świnoujście.
Going into the match, Elana Toruń had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 21. Flota Świnoujście had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Elana Toruń's last 10 and 5 of Flota Świnoujście's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Elana Toruń averaged 1.08 goals scored and 2.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Flota Świnoujście averaged 1.27 scored and 2.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Elana Toruń and 1.36 from Flota Świnoujście. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 31%, against 38%, 24% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Elana Toruń (green) and Flota Świnoujście (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elana Toruń | WDDLL | 1.50 | 2.10 | 90% | 90% |
| Flota Świnoujście | LLDWL | 1.50 | 1.70 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Elana Toruń Win | 37% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.