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Premier League · Egypt
El Mokawloon vs Masr prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
El Mokawloon host Masr in the Premier League (Egypt) on 12 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: El Mokawloon 1–1 Masr.
Going into the match, El Mokawloon had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Masr had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of El Mokawloon's last 10 and 3 of Masr's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home El Mokawloon averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Masr averaged 1.23 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from El Mokawloon and 1.05 from Masr. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 30%, against 31%, 34% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between El Mokawloon (green) and Masr (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Mokawloon | WWDWL | 1.40 | 0.90 | 50% | 30% |
| Masr | WWDLW | 1.20 | 0.90 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance X2 | 69% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.