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League Cup · Egypt
El Mokawloon vs El Gouna FC prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
El Mokawloon host El Gouna FC in the League Cup (Egypt) on 8 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: El Mokawloon 2–0 El Gouna FC.
Going into the match, El Mokawloon had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 9. El Gouna FC had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of El Mokawloon's last 10 and 6 of El Gouna FC's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home El Mokawloon averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home El Gouna FC averaged 0.78 scored and 0.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from El Mokawloon and 0.71 from El Gouna FC. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 15%, against 51%, 30% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between El Mokawloon (green) and El Gouna FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Mokawloon | WDWLL | 1.30 | 0.90 | 50% | 30% |
| El Gouna FC | LLLDD | 0.80 | 1.10 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Sep 2026 · El Gouna FC 0–1 El Mokawloon
- 8 May 2026 · El Mokawloon 1–0 El Gouna FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| El Mokawloon Win | 52% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.