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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
El Linqueño host Douglas Haig in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 11 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: El Linqueño 0–0 Douglas Haig.
Going into the match, El Linqueño had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Douglas Haig had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of El Linqueño's last 10 and 5 of Douglas Haig's last 10; 2 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home El Linqueño averaged 0.91 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Douglas Haig averaged 1.08 scored and 0.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.87 goals from El Linqueño and 0.68 from Douglas Haig. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 26%, against 36%, 31% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between El Linqueño (green) and Douglas Haig (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Linqueño | WWLDD | 1.10 | 0.50 | 40% | 20% |
| Douglas Haig | DWLWW | 1.50 | 1.00 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Jun 2026 · El Linqueño 2–0 Douglas Haig
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 68% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.