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Ligue 2 · Algeria
El Bayadh vs ASM Oran prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
El Bayadh host ASM Oran in the Ligue 2 (Algeria) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, El Bayadh had won 0, drawn 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 11. ASM Oran had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of El Bayadh's last 10 and 3 of ASM Oran's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home El Bayadh averaged 0.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home ASM Oran averaged 0.83 scored and 0.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.39 goals from El Bayadh and 0.93 from ASM Oran. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 47%, against 27%, 29% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between El Bayadh (green) and ASM Oran (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.26 |
| Double Chance X2 | 72% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.65 |
| ASM Oran Win | 42% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| ASM Oran HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 2 matches that day
- USM Annaba vs JS Jijel · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Nrb Beni Oulbene vs CR Béni Thour · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - NC Magra vs Azazga · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - MSP Batna vs IRB Nezla · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: MSP Batna Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.67