Eibar W vs Madrid CFF W prediction and preview

25 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 62%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Eibar W host Madrid CFF W in the Primera División Femenina (Spain) on 25 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Eibar W 2–2 Madrid CFF W.

Going into the match, Eibar W had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Madrid CFF W had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Eibar W's last 10 and 5 of Madrid CFF W's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Eibar W averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Madrid CFF W averaged 1.33 scored and 3.00 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Eibar W and 1.30 from Madrid CFF W. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 29%, against 36%, 29% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Eibar W (green) and Madrid CFF W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence61% – 39%

Head-to-head20% – 80%

Goals36% – 64%

Overall strength46% – 53%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Eibar W	LDWWL	1.00	0.80	30%	30%
Madrid CFF W	LDWLW	1.70	2.00	50%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	73%	1.28
Double Chance 12	69%	1.28
Over 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
Under 2.5 Goals	62%	1.50
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	61%	1.53
BTTS No	55%	1.62
Under 1.5 Goals	37%	2.50
Eibar W Win	36%	2.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.