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Segunda División · Spain
Eibar vs Almeria prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · Ipurua Municipal Stadium, Eibar
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Eibar host Almeria in the Segunda División (Spain) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Eibar had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Almeria had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Eibar's last 10 and 4 of Almeria's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Eibar averaged 2.22 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Almeria averaged 1.25 scored and 0.81 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Eibar and 1.07 from Almeria. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 35%, 28% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Eibar (green) and Almeria (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Albacete vs Sabadell · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba · 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Real Sociedad II vs Girona · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20