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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Eibar II vs Basconia prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Eibar II host Basconia in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.69, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Eibar II 1–1 Basconia.
Going into the match, Eibar II had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 9. Basconia had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Eibar II's last 9 and 9 of Basconia's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Eibar II averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Basconia averaged 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from Eibar II and 0.95 from Basconia. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 19%, against 51%, 25% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Eibar II (green) and Basconia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Eibar II Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Eibar II HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.