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J3 League · Japan

Ehime FC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Ehime FC WinOdds 1.65Market probability 54%Final score 3–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Ehime FC host Thespakusatsu Gunma in the J3 League (Japan) on 3 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ehime FC Win — Ehime FC to win. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Ehime FC 3–1 Thespakusatsu Gunma.

Going into the match, Ehime FC had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Thespakusatsu Gunma had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 21 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Ehime FC's last 10 and 7 of Thespakusatsu Gunma's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ehime FC averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Thespakusatsu Gunma averaged 1.27 scored and 2.09 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.78 goals from Ehime FC and 1.01 from Thespakusatsu Gunma. From that it rates a home win at 74%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 10%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Ehime FC (green) and Thespakusatsu Gunma (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form63% – 38%
Attack69% – 31%
Defence54% – 46%
Head-to-head29% – 71%
Goals27% – 73%
Overall strength54% – 45%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Ehime FCLDWLW1.601.4070%60%
Thespakusatsu GunmaLWLLL1.202.1070%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No75%1.22
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals60%1.56
BTTS Yes58%1.58
Over 2.5 Goals58%1.62
Ehime FC Win54%1.65
Under 10.5 Corners54%1.73
Under 2.5 Goals42%2.25
Ehime FC HT & FT37%2.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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