Home › League stats › Friendlies › Egypt vs South Africa
Friendlies · International
Egypt vs South Africa prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Egypt host South Africa in the Friendlies (International) on 4 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Egypt 0–1 South Africa.
Going into the match, Egypt had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 9. South Africa had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 8, with 10 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Egypt's last 9 and 3 of South Africa's last 8; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Egypt averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home South Africa averaged 1.75 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Egypt and 0.76 from South Africa. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 22%, against 53%, 27% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Egypt (green) and South Africa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt | WDLDD | 1.67 | 1.00 | 67% | 44% |
| South Africa | WWLWD | 1.25 | 0.75 | 38% | 25% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Egypt Win | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.