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Superliga · Albania
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Egnatia Rrogozhinë host Vllaznia Shkodër in the Superliga (Albania) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win — Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3–1 Vllaznia Shkodër.
Going into the match, Egnatia Rrogozhinë had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 8. Vllaznia Shkodër had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Egnatia Rrogozhinë's last 10 and 5 of Vllaznia Shkodër's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Egnatia Rrogozhinë averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Vllaznia Shkodër averaged 0.75 scored and 2.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.89 goals from Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 0.79 from Vllaznia Shkodër. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 7%, against 58%, 24% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Egnatia Rrogozhinë (green) and Vllaznia Shkodër (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | DWWLW | 2.00 | 0.80 | 70% | 60% |
| Vllaznia Shkodër | WLLLD | 1.20 | 1.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Vllaznia Shkodër 1–2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win | 60% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Superliga matches that day
- Vora vs Partizani · 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Superliga
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 4–1