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Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 · Greece

Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus prediction and preview

11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.70Market probability 55%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Egaleo host Ethnikos Piraeus in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Greece) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Egaleo 1–0 Ethnikos Piraeus.

Going into the match, Egaleo had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Ethnikos Piraeus had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 6 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Egaleo's last 4 and 3 of Ethnikos Piraeus's last 9; 3 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Egaleo averaged 4.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Ethnikos Piraeus averaged 0.50 scored and 0.75 conceded across 4.

The 1X2 prices imply about 54% for Egaleo, 26% for the draw and 20% for Ethnikos Piraeus once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Egaleo (green) and Ethnikos Piraeus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form60% – 40%
Attack71% – 29%
Defence50% – 50%
Overall strength60% – 39%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
EgaleoWWWL2.501.2575%75%
Ethnikos PiraeusDWLWL0.670.6733%11%

Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1273%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.40
Under 2.5 Goals55%1.70
BTTS No54%1.77
Egaleo Win53%1.67
Egaleo HT & FT35%2.62
Draw27%3.40
1-015%6.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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