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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
Eemdijk vs Sportlust '46 prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Eemdijk host Sportlust '46 in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Eemdijk had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 25. Sportlust '46 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Eemdijk's last 10 and 6 of Sportlust '46's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Eemdijk averaged 2.10 goals scored and 1.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Sportlust '46 averaged 1.88 scored and 2.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Eemdijk and 1.87 from Sportlust '46. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 44%, against 16%, 14% and 69% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Eemdijk (green) and Sportlust '46 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eemdijk | WDLWL | 1.80 | 2.50 | 70% | 90% |
| Sportlust '46 | LDLWL | 1.60 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sportlust '46 Win | 73% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Sportlust '46 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Sportlust '46 HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
| 0-3 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.