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League Two · Scotland
Edinburgh City vs Spartans prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Edinburgh City host Spartans in the League Two (Scotland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Edinburgh City 1–3 Spartans.
Going into the match, Edinburgh City had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Spartans had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Edinburgh City's last 10 and 3 of Spartans's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Edinburgh City averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Spartans averaged 1.27 scored and 1.45 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Edinburgh City and 1.14 from Spartans. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 24%, against 35%, 26% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Edinburgh City (green) and Spartans (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edinburgh City | DLWWW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
| Spartans | LWDLW | 1.90 | 1.60 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Spartans 2–2 Edinburgh City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.