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League Two · Scotland
Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Meadowbank Sports Centre, Edinburgh
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Edinburgh City host Dumbarton in the League Two (Scotland) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Edinburgh City had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 16. Dumbarton had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Edinburgh City's last 10 and 7 of Dumbarton's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Edinburgh City averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Dumbarton averaged 0.85 scored and 3.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.13 goals from Edinburgh City and 1.03 from Dumbarton. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 17%, against 52%, 24% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Edinburgh City (green) and Dumbarton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edinburgh City | WDLLD | 1.70 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
| Dumbarton | WDLLW | 1.60 | 2.10 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Dumbarton 0–3 Edinburgh City
- 2 May 2026 · Edinburgh City 5–0 Dumbarton
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Edinburgh City Win | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Elgin City Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Spartans vs Annan Athletic · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.20 - Stirling Albion vs Forfar Athletic · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Stranraer vs Clyde · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44