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Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Ebro vs Girona II prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ebro host Girona II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ebro 0–1 Girona II.
Going into the match, Ebro had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Girona II had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 19 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Ebro's last 10 and 8 of Girona II's last 9; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ebro averaged 1.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Girona II averaged 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Ebro and 1.33 from Girona II. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 31%, against 49%, 27% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.83 |
| Ebro Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Ebro HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 matches that day
- Barcelona B vs Utebo · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Osasuna II vs Olot · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 0–0