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Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Ebro vs Calamocha prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ebro host Calamocha in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ebro 2–0 Calamocha.
Going into the match, Ebro had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Calamocha had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Ebro's last 10 and 1 of Calamocha's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ebro averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Calamocha averaged 0.25 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Ebro and 0.62 from Calamocha. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 12%, against 78%, 17% and 5% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.31 |
| BTTS No | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Ebro 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.00 |
| Draw HT / Ebro FT | 29% | 3.25 |
| 2-0 | 21% | 4.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.